BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 11 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern Bobwhite In Prairie Potholes

All regionsPrairie PotholesGrassland birds

Northern Bobwhite in Prairie Potholes has declined: down 42% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-42%Since 1969
21Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Northern Bobwhite in Prairie Potholes. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Northern Bobwhite in Prairie Potholes is projected to fall about 50% by 2029 — from 0.41 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.20 (95% range 0.00–0.99). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±74.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-50%Change by 2029
0.20Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.9995% range
±74.8%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.240.001.0
20260.230.001.0
20270.220.001.0
20280.210.001.0
20290.200.000.99

Routes In Prairie Potholes

Routes recording Northern Bobwhite in Prairie Potholes.
TildenNEBRASKA212024
SpartaNEBRASKA112021
ClareIOWA71990
GarnerIOWA31974
WinsideNEBRASKA32003
Eagle CreekNEBRASKA32024
Winside 2NEBRASKA32022
MadisonNEBRASKA32019
ScrantonIOWA22024
HowardSOUTH-DAKOTA21991
GeddesSOUTH-DAKOTA21996
VolgaSOUTH-DAKOTA22015
PantherIOWA12024
WashingtonIOWA12014
ZearingIOWA11994
Chokio NorthMINNESOTA12006
MidwayNEBRASKA12023
PoncaNEBRASKA12024
LennoxSOUTH-DAKOTA12024
TrippSOUTH-DAKOTA12008
White LakeSOUTH-DAKOTA12007

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.