Species · South Carolina · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Northern Bobwhite Population Trend in South Carolina
Northern Bobwhite in South Carolina has collapsed: down 94% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-94%Since 1968
51Routes In State
58Years
Notable Northern Bobwhite Trends in South Carolina
long arc declinecomputed index
Northern Bobwhite has collapsed in South Carolina: down 94% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Northern Bobwhite Population Forecast in South Carolina
If the recent trend holds, Northern Bobwhite in South Carolina is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 3.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–9.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±407.7%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–9.595% range
±407.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.5 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.5 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.5 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.5 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.5 |
Northern Bobwhite Survey Routes in South Carolina
| Johns Isle | 52 | 1979 | 1966 |
| Boykin Ml Pd | 47 | 1968 | 1966 |
| Boiling Spgs | 28 | 1979 | 1967 |
| Pendleton | 26 | 1976 | 1966 |
| Sandhills | 22 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Landrum | 19 | 1992 | 1972 |
| Nixonville | 16 | 1995 | 1987 |
| Kingstree | 16 | 2010 | 2010 |
| Little Mtn | 10 | 1988 | 1966 |
| Rome | 9 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Salem Xrd | 9 | 2019 | 1982 |
| New Holland | 8 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Adams Run | 8 | 2024 | 1988 |
| Dillon | 6 | 2021 | 1970 |
| Owings | 6 | 2004 | 1992 |
| Greenwood | 6 | 2019 | 1998 |
| Bennettsville | 6 | 2017 | 1998 |
| Olar | 6 | 2019 | 1998 |
| Cauthens Xrd | 6 | 2021 | 1982 |
| Holly Hill | 5 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Foreston | 5 | 2021 | 1966 |
| Pinewood | 5 | 2019 | 1998 |
| Chesnee | 5 | 2015 | 1992 |
| New Ellenton | 4 | 2023 | 2010 |
| Ward | 4 | 2021 | 2017 |
Northern Bobwhite Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.