Species · Florida · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Northern Bobwhite Population Trend in Florida
Northern Bobwhite in Florida has fallen sharply: down 73% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-73%Since 1968
115Routes In State
58Years
Notable Northern Bobwhite Trends in Florida
long arc declinecomputed index
Northern Bobwhite has fallen sharply in Florida: down 73% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Northern Bobwhite Population Forecast in Florida
If the recent trend holds, Northern Bobwhite in Florida is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 7.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–6.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±98.3%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–6.895% range
±98.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.74 | 0.00 | 7.5 |
| 2026 | 0.23 | 0.00 | 7.0 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.8 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.8 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.8 |
Northern Bobwhite Survey Routes in Florida
| Broward | 52 | 1973 | 1966 |
| Webb | 44 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Salvista | 34 | 1979 | 1967 |
| Alturas | 33 | 1986 | 1971 |
| Blountstown | 32 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Babcock Rnch | 30 | 1990 | 1988 |
| Broad Branch | 27 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Telogia | 26 | 1985 | 1968 |
| Myakka Head | 25 | 2011 | 1966 |
| Chassahowitz | 23 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Gardner | 21 | 1999 | 1987 |
| Palmdale | 19 | 2023 | 1987 |
| Nixon | 19 | 1986 | 1985 |
| Lovedale | 19 | 2011 | 1987 |
| Ft Lonesome | 18 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Blackwater | 18 | 2024 | 1987 |
| Betts | 18 | 2024 | 1987 |
| Clewiston | 18 | 2023 | 2015 |
| Dowling Park | 16 | 2023 | 1987 |
| Bristol | 16 | 2023 | 1986 |
| Ridge Harbor | 16 | 2024 | 1991 |
| Kenansville | 15 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Citrus | 15 | 2024 | 2010 |
| Pennywash Cr | 14 | 2024 | 1987 |
| Sandy 2 | 14 | 2024 | 2017 |
Northern Bobwhite Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.