Species · Mississippi · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Northern Bobwhite Population Trend in Mississippi
Northern Bobwhite in Mississippi has collapsed: down 98% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-98%Since 1968
68Routes In State
58Years
Notable Northern Bobwhite Trends in Mississippi
long arc declinecomputed index
Northern Bobwhite has collapsed in Mississippi: down 98% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Northern Bobwhite Population Forecast in Mississippi
If the recent trend holds, Northern Bobwhite in Mississippi is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 1.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–9.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±781.3%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–9.995% range
±781.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.9 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.9 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.9 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.9 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.9 |
Northern Bobwhite Survey Routes in Mississippi
| Walthall | 70 | 1987 | 1970 |
| Diberville | 51 | 1987 | 1979 |
| Scooba | 38 | 1982 | 1967 |
| Fontainbleau | 24 | 1978 | 1966 |
| Poplarville | 22 | 1978 | 1972 |
| Mt Carmel | 17 | 2016 | 1974 |
| Neely | 17 | 2012 | 1974 |
| Tchula | 16 | 1975 | 1970 |
| Scooba 2 | 16 | 1987 | 1983 |
| Olive Branch | 15 | 2001 | 1966 |
| Commerce | 10 | 1993 | 1966 |
| Waynesboro | 9 | 2010 | 1966 |
| Utica | 8 | 1995 | 1966 |
| Sandy Creek | 6 | 2000 | 1993 |
| Embry | 6 | 2024 | 1988 |
| Necaise | 6 | 2022 | 1982 |
| Dundee | 5 | 2022 | 1970 |
| Duffee | 5 | 2008 | 1973 |
| Shelby | 5 | 2024 | 2009 |
| Trace North | 5 | 2018 | 2008 |
| Lake Mary | 4 | 1990 | 1974 |
| Columbia | 4 | 2018 | 1969 |
| Cybur | 4 | 2019 | 1966 |
| De Soto | 4 | 2019 | 2008 |
| Water Valley | 3 | 2015 | 2015 |
Northern Bobwhite Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.