Species · Arkansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Northern Bobwhite Population Trend in Arkansas
Northern Bobwhite in Arkansas has collapsed: down 93% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-93%Since 1969
59Routes In State
57Years
Notable Northern Bobwhite Trends in Arkansas
long arc declinecomputed index
Northern Bobwhite has collapsed in Arkansas: down 93% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Northern Bobwhite Population Forecast in Arkansas
If the recent trend holds, Northern Bobwhite in Arkansas is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 2.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–7.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±313.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–7.695% range
±313.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.6 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.6 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.6 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.6 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.6 |
Northern Bobwhite Survey Routes in Arkansas
| Fulton | 17 | 2024 | 1967 |
| West Tyler | 13 | 1984 | 1967 |
| Crows | 11 | 1991 | 1967 |
| Hope | 9 | 2000 | 1967 |
| Zion | 9 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Ramsey | 8 | 1997 | 1967 |
| Poyen | 8 | 2007 | 1967 |
| Russell | 8 | 2021 | 2010 |
| Princeton | 8 | 2021 | 1998 |
| Saffell | 7 | 2019 | 1967 |
| Four Lakes | 7 | 2001 | 1994 |
| Nance | 7 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Whitton | 6 | 1991 | 1967 |
| Dry Fork 2 | 6 | 2024 | 2024 |
| Augusta | 5 | 2001 | 1967 |
| Hatfield 2 | 5 | 2024 | 2017 |
| Dry Fork | 5 | 2023 | 2000 |
| Farwell | 4 | 2018 | 2010 |
| Ravenden Springs | 4 | 2015 | 2010 |
| Marshall | 4 | 2021 | 2011 |
| Lockesburg | 4 | 2018 | 2015 |
| Princeton 2 | 4 | 2022 | 2022 |
| Hollywood | 3 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Blakely | 3 | 1999 | 1968 |
| Dell | 3 | 2024 | 2010 |
Northern Bobwhite Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.