BirdAnalyst
Species · Missouri · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern Bobwhite Population Trend in Missouri

All statesGrassland birds

Northern Bobwhite in Missouri has collapsed: down 78% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-78%Since 1969
94Routes In State
57Years

Notable Northern Bobwhite Trends in Missouri

long arc declinecomputed index

Northern Bobwhite has collapsed in Missouri: down 78% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Northern Bobwhite Population Forecast in Missouri

If the recent trend holds, Northern Bobwhite in Missouri is projected to fall about 76% by 2029 — from 9.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.2 (95% range 0.00–14). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±26.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-76%Change by 2029
2.2Projected 2029 index
0.00–1495% range
±26.3%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20255.60.0018
20264.80.0017
20273.90.0016
20283.00.0015
20292.20.0014

Northern Bobwhite Survey Routes in Missouri

Routes recording Northern Bobwhite in Missouri.
Elmo7920232016
Bolckow6519921967
Hamilton6219851972
Cole Camp6019901971
Sni Mills5119901967
Stet5119951972
Watson4920241991
Warren4819841967
Norborne3520232006
Emden3220242017
Kahoka2719981967
Trenton2520241967
Mcfall2520241994
Washington2419771967
Kennett2420242015
Madison2320241971
Huntsville2320241967
Laclede2320241994
Lucerne2320212016
Clementine2220021974
Danville2120241967
Frankford2120241985
Gildehouse1919891978
Auburn1920242014
Cameron1820231986

Northern Bobwhite Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.