BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 26 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern Bobwhite In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

All regionsMississippi Alluvial ValleyGrassland birds

Northern Bobwhite in Mississippi Alluvial Valley has collapsed: down 90% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-90%Since 1968
62Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Northern Bobwhite has collapsed in Mississippi Alluvial Valley: down 90% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Northern Bobwhite in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 3.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–7.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±268.9%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–7.695% range
±268.9%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.000.007.6
20260.000.007.6
20270.000.007.6
20280.000.007.6
20290.000.007.6

Routes In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

Routes recording Northern Bobwhite in Mississippi Alluvial Valley.
PawpawTENNESSEE342012
BrousvilleLOUISIANA302024
KennettMISSOURI242024
TchulaMISSISSIPPI161975
West TylerARKANSAS131984
BlodgettMISSOURI132024
KeystoneLOUISIANA122013
BardwellKENTUCKY112003
DeventerMISSOURI112024
CommerceMISSISSIPPI101993
Cp GirardeauMISSOURI102024
FreetownLOUISIANA92019
Pawpaw 2TENNESSEE92023
Morgan CityLOUISIANA82022
SaffellARKANSAS72019
WhittonARKANSAS61991
AugustaARKANSAS52001
DundeeMISSISSIPPI52022
ShelbyMISSISSIPPI52024
HaytiMISSOURI52021
Port AllenLOUISIANA42024
DellARKANSAS32024
MoonMISSISSIPPI32018
TippoMISSISSIPPI32024
Dahomey NwrMISSISSIPPI32019

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.