BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 28 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern Bobwhite In Appalachian Mountains

All regionsAppalachian MountainsGrassland birds

Northern Bobwhite in Appalachian Mountains has collapsed: down 99% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-99%Since 1968
288Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Northern Bobwhite has collapsed in Appalachian Mountains: down 99% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Northern Bobwhite in Appalachian Mountains is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.10 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–3.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±2931.7%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–3.895% range
±2931.7%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.000.003.8
20260.000.003.8
20270.000.003.8
20280.000.003.8
20290.000.003.8

Routes In Appalachian Mountains

Routes recording Northern Bobwhite in Appalachian Mountains.
DearmanvilleALABAMA481983
PaintsvilleKENTUCKY201995
LandrumSOUTH-CAROLINA191992
SummittALABAMA171981
ChildersburgALABAMA171999
Borden SprngALABAMA161998
IvanhoeVIRGINIA151968
StaffordsvilKENTUCKY141997
Jonas RidgeNORTH-CAROLINA141971
ClimerTENNESSEE142004
ArleeWEST-VIRGINIA131977
BerryburgWEST-VIRGINIA131976
DawsonALABAMA111998
ClinchportVIRGINIA111978
GeslingKENTUCKY91973
Craven GapNORTH-CAROLINA81975
NewbernVIRGINIA81982
OneontaALABAMA72019
Greasy RidgeOHIO71991
NicutWEST-VIRGINIA72003
WashburnWEST-VIRGINIA71976
Borden Springs 2ALABAMA62022
Coal RunOHIO61989
SigelPENNSYLVANIA61995
GuntersvilleALABAMA52012

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.