Species · BCR 17 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Northern Bobwhite In Badlands and Prairies
Northern Bobwhite in Badlands and Prairies has collapsed: down 81% on the route-weighted index since 1973.
-81%Since 1973
6Routes In Region
20Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Northern Bobwhite has collapsed in Badlands and Prairies: down 81% on the route-weighted index since 1973.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Northern Bobwhite in Badlands and Prairies is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.02 (95% range 0.00–0.08). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±90.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2029
0.02Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.0895% range
±90.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| 2026 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| 2027 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| 2028 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| 2029 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
Routes In Badlands and Prairies
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.