BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern Bobwhite In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaGrassland birds

Northern Bobwhite in Peninsular Florida has collapsed: down 76% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-76%Since 1968
73Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Northern Bobwhite has collapsed in Peninsular Florida: down 76% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Northern Bobwhite in Peninsular Florida is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 7.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–8.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±125%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–8.595% range
±125%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.000.008.5
20260.000.008.5
20270.000.008.5
20280.000.008.5
20290.000.008.5

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Northern Bobwhite in Peninsular Florida.
BrowardFLORIDA521973
WebbFLORIDA442024
SalvistaFLORIDA341979
AlturasFLORIDA331986
Babcock RnchFLORIDA301990
Myakka HeadFLORIDA252011
ChassahowitzFLORIDA232024
GardnerFLORIDA211999
PalmdaleFLORIDA192023
Ft LonesomeFLORIDA182024
ClewistonFLORIDA182023
Ridge HarborFLORIDA162024
KenansvilleFLORIDA152024
CitrusFLORIDA152024
Pennywash CrFLORIDA142024
Sandy 2FLORIDA142024
MabelFLORIDA122011
Green SwampFLORIDA122024
Lake BuffumFLORIDA112024
OcalaFLORIDA102024
RomeoFLORIDA92024
KissimmeeFLORIDA92024
Mabel 2FLORIDA72019
CorbettFLORIDA72024
IndiantownFLORIDA62017

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.