BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern Bobwhite In Central Hardwoods

All regionsCentral HardwoodsGrassland birds

Northern Bobwhite in Central Hardwoods has collapsed: down 85% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-85%Since 1968
161Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Northern Bobwhite has collapsed in Central Hardwoods: down 85% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Northern Bobwhite in Central Hardwoods is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 5.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–7.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±92.2%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–7.195% range
±92.2%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.000.007.1
20260.000.007.1
20270.000.007.1
20280.000.007.1
20290.000.007.1

Routes In Central Hardwoods

Routes recording Northern Bobwhite in Central Hardwoods.
Cole CampMISSOURI601990
BoxvilleKENTUCKY441983
NewberryINDIANA432024
WashingtonINDIANA272024
HudsonKENTUCKY272024
Daniel BooneKENTUCKY271988
BrownvilleILLINOIS232024
Brnt PrairieILLINOIS222024
ClementineMISSOURI222002
BirdsILLINOIS192024
BrazilINDIANA192024
FultonARKANSAS172024
RiverqueenKENTUCKY172024
WhitewaterMISSOURI162024
KeysburgKENTUCKY152024
CentertownMISSOURI152024
Indian SpgsINDIANA142024
ScottsburgINDIANA142024
Cedar GroveKENTUCKY142024
GatewoodKENTUCKY142019
New PhilaINDIANA132024
DelwoodILLINOIS122024
Sulphur LickKENTUCKY122024
SwedenMISSOURI122024
HillsboroALABAMA111996

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.