BirdAnalyst
Species · Washington · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Wild Turkey Population Trend in Washington

All statesGame birds

Wild Turkey in Washington has surged: up 13× on the route-weighted index since 1996.

13×Since 1996TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
38Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
31YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Wild Turkey Trends in WashingtonNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Wild Turkey in Washington. See the full index history below.

Wild Turkey Population Forecast in Washington

If the recent trend holds, Wild Turkey in Washington is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 0.77 (95% range 0.37–1.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±38.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-5%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.77Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.37–1.295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±38.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Wild Turkey in Washington is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 0.77 (95% range 0.37–1.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±38.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19872030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.690.291.1
20270.710.311.1
20280.730.331.1
20290.750.351.2
20300.770.371.2

Wild Turkey Survey Routes in Washington

Routes recording Wild Turkey in Washington.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Chewelah1420212001
Bay View1020132013
Snowden920251999
Nighthawk820252014
Pomeroy820241998
L Pend O Nwr720211996
Northport720252002
Twisp620222006
Leavenworth620232011
Cloverland620252008
Deer Park420151997
Keller320072003
Turnbull Nwr320212005
Ellensburg320212016
Twin Lakes220252025
Wilbur220242004
Omak Creek220242010
Carnation220182018
Lake Chelan219921992
E. Mt. Adams120042004
Reardan120252010
Cougar120232023
Asotin120192006
Sullivan Lake 2120212021
Cusick120251987

Wild Turkey Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.