BirdAnalyst
Species · Alabama · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Wild Turkey Population Trend in Alabama

All statesGeneralists

Wild Turkey in Alabama has surged: up 709% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+709%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
87Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
54YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Wild Turkey Trends in AlabamaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Wild Turkey has surged in Alabama: up 709% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Wild Turkey Population Forecast in Alabama

If the recent trend holds, Wild Turkey in Alabama is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.72 (95% range 0.48–0.95). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+8%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.72Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.48–0.9595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±12.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Wild Turkey in Alabama is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.72 (95% range 0.48–0.95). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.680.440.91
20260.690.450.92
20270.700.460.93
20280.710.470.94
20290.720.480.95

Wild Turkey Survey Routes in Alabama

Routes recording Wild Turkey in Alabama.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Helicon1120221996
Odenville820231996
Lanett720241993
Liberty City 2720242017
Swaim620242008
Liberty City620081979
Kymulga620232002
Warrior Std520241982
Oneonta520192012
St Florian420142014
Beatrice420081966
Courtland420211999
Carter Grove420232011
Gastonburg420132003
Autaugaville420181996
Sunny Eve220241969
Sprague220241981
South220211980
Mclellan220111988
Guntersville220021997
Fairview220212003
Elamville220232000
Rock Chapel220122012
Wheeler Dam220232012
Latham 2220212019

Wild Turkey Population Trend in Other States

arizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.