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Species · Nebraska · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Wild Turkey Population Trend in Nebraska

All statesGame birds

Wild Turkey in Nebraska has surged: up 53× on the route-weighted index since 1972.

53×Since 1972TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
64Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
47YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Wild Turkey Trends in NebraskaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Wild Turkey in Nebraska. See the full index history below.

Wild Turkey Population Forecast in Nebraska

If the recent trend holds, Wild Turkey in Nebraska is projected to rise about 43% by 2030 — from 2.7 in 2025 to a central estimate of 3.9 (95% range 2.0–5.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±90.5%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+43%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
3.9Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.0–5.895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±90.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Wild Turkey in Nebraska is projected to rise about 43% by 2030 — from 2.7 in 2025 to a central estimate of 3.9 (95% range 2.0–5.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±90.5%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20263.61.75.5
20273.61.75.6
20283.71.85.6
20293.81.95.7
20303.92.05.8

Wild Turkey Survey Routes in Nebraska

Routes recording Wild Turkey in Nebraska.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Kearney3620251985
Brady2320251995
Paxton1620161970
Gretna1420182000
Gordon1120162002
Hendley1120232019
Holbrook1020252005
Table1020172004
Johnson820252002
Sparta820251996
Crawford820251982
Liberty 3820252009
Irvington620252005
Midway620251980
Brownlee620241994
Berwyn 2620252014
Julian520231982
Pine Ridge520252000
Sumner420251990
Surprise420242013
Petersburg420211988
Eagle Creek420251967
Murray Lake420222002
Maxwell420252018
Red Cloud420242018

Wild Turkey Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.