BirdAnalyst
Species · New Hampshire · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Wild Turkey Population Trend in New Hampshire

All statesGame birds

Wild Turkey in New Hampshire has surged: up 44× on the route-weighted index since 1993.

44×Since 1993TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
24Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
32YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Wild Turkey Trends in New HampshireNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Wild Turkey in New Hampshire. See the full index history below.

Wild Turkey Population Forecast in New Hampshire

If the recent trend holds, Wild Turkey in New Hampshire is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 2.4 (95% range 1.3–3.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+7%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.4Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.3–3.595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±18.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Wild Turkey in New Hampshire is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 2.4 (95% range 1.3–3.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19692030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20262.11.03.2
20272.21.13.3
20282.31.23.3
20292.31.23.4
20302.41.33.5

Wild Turkey Survey Routes in New Hampshire

Routes recording Wild Turkey in New Hampshire.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Gilmantn I W1220251995
Wilmot820241999
Mt Chocorua720212000
Peterborough620252005
Dover620251996
Epsom620242003
Franconia420252003
Dixvil Notch420132001
Marlow320252000
Lempster320251969
Clarksville320252013
Fitzwilliam220251993
Canterbury220252004
Walpole220251978
Milan220252007
Stratford220222018
Dixville Notch 2220252018
Hopkinton120232002
Concord120251997
Strafford120252009
Jefferson Hl120222003
Glen120252006
East Kingston120252002
Jeffers Ntch120072007

Wild Turkey Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.