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Species · Wisconsin · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Wild Turkey Population Trend in Wisconsin

All statesGame birds

Wild Turkey in Wisconsin has surged: up 238× on the route-weighted index since 1987.

238×Since 1987TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
95Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
40YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Wild Turkey Trends in WisconsinNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Wild Turkey in Wisconsin. See the full index history below.

Wild Turkey Population Forecast in Wisconsin

If the recent trend holds, Wild Turkey in Wisconsin is projected to rise about 12% by 2030 — from 3.5 in 2025 to a central estimate of 4.0 (95% range 2.8–5.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±14.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+12%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
4.0Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.8–5.295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±14.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Wild Turkey in Wisconsin is projected to rise about 12% by 2030 — from 3.5 in 2025 to a central estimate of 4.0 (95% range 2.8–5.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±14.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19792030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20263.62.54.8
20273.72.54.9
20283.82.65.0
20293.92.75.1
20304.02.85.2

Wild Turkey Survey Routes in Wisconsin

Routes recording Wild Turkey in Wisconsin.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Paris1820251994
Casco1520251995
Omro 21520252006
Princeton1420241993
Amberg1220251988
Beaver Dam1220232004
Beloit1220251998
Clintonville1120251989
Brownsville1120251996
Briggsville1120251999
Wausaukee1020251988
Eden920252002
Rhinelander920232004
Iron River820252009
Wis Rapids820231998
Stevens Pt820231999
Fall River820251991
Raymond820252012
Stetsonville820252000
Gresham820252000
Exeland720241992
Irma720252000
Cadott720251998
Mather720231979
Weyerhauser620251999

Wild Turkey Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.