BirdAnalyst
Species · Virginia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Killdeer Population Trend in Virginia

All statesShorebirds

Killdeer in Virginia has increased: up 27% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+27%Since 1968
71Routes In State
58Years

Notable Killdeer Trends in Virginia

No notable trend signals for Killdeer in Virginia. See the full index history below.

Killdeer Population Forecast in Virginia

If the recent trend holds, Killdeer in Virginia is projected to fall about 24% by 2029 — from 2.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.5 (95% range 0.43–2.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±43.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-24%Change by 2029
1.5Projected 2029 index
0.43–2.695% range
±43.3%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.50.442.6
20261.50.442.6
20271.50.442.6
20281.50.432.6
20291.50.432.6

Killdeer Survey Routes in Virginia

Routes recording Killdeer in Virginia.
Cornland1120141975
White Stone920241966
Gladys920241994
Branchville820241966
Newbern719821970
Mannboro720241968
Pungo720241975
Backbay619741966
Newville620241990
Brodnax520241974
Newsoms520241973
Brandon520241994
Great Falls419761967
Natural Brid420241974
Wylliesburg420191976
Cape Charles420171998
David320111968
Amherst320231971
Carters Brdg320101966
Concord320111967
Surry320241979
Quinby320241967
Elamsville320101984
Moran320241997
Brandy Station320242022

Killdeer Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontwashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.