BirdAnalyst
Species · North Dakota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Killdeer Population Trend in North Dakota

All statesShorebirds

Killdeer in North Dakota has risen sharply: up 73% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+73%Since 1969
51Routes In State
57Years

Notable Killdeer Trends in North Dakota

long arc increasecomputed index

Killdeer has risen sharply in North Dakota: up 73% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Killdeer Population Forecast in North Dakota

If the recent trend holds, Killdeer in North Dakota is projected to rise about 18% by 2029 — from 16 in 2024 to a central estimate of 19 (95% range 13–25). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±21.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+18%Change by 2029
19Projected 2029 index
13–2595% range
±21.2%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025191325
2026191325
2027191325
2028191325
2029191325

Killdeer Survey Routes in North Dakota

Routes recording Killdeer in North Dakota.
Edgeley4520241980
Lakota4520091968
Abercrombie4320121967
Walcott4220231967
Loraine3420191982
Forman3220241968
Danzig 23220242019
Buchanan3020241967
Sydney2819831967
Parshall2620131982
Montpelier2620241990
Kempton2320171967
Solen2320242005
Cooperstown2220241969
Horsehead Lk2220241980
Gorham2120181968
Wild Rose2120241982
Stanley2020241967
Wimbledon1820241981
Carpio1820231967
Sheyenne Lk1720241980
Dickinson1420241968
Powers Lake1420241980
Niles1320241989
Danzig1220141982

Killdeer Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.