BirdAnalyst
Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Killdeer Population Trend in Texas

All statesShorebirds

Killdeer in Texas has fallen sharply: down 59% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-59%Since 1969
242Routes In State
57Years

Notable Killdeer Trends in Texas

long arc declinecomputed index

Killdeer has fallen sharply in Texas: down 59% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Killdeer Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, Killdeer in Texas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 2.7 (95% range 0.73–4.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±68.4%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+4%Change by 2029
2.7Projected 2029 index
0.73–4.795% range
±68.4%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20253.00.995.0
20262.90.924.9
20272.90.864.8
20282.80.804.8
20292.70.734.7

Killdeer Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording Killdeer in Texas.
Waka2820241975
Bayside 22320041997
Rhome2120241967
Claytonville1420221995
Chandler1320041968
Wolfe City1319871969
Panhandle1320241994
E Georgetown1219791968
Twichell1220231996
Thornton 21120101985
Loyola Beach1120091994
Oyster Lake1020241995
Friona1020242001
Gruver1020241994
Mcfaddin1020162006
Stowell920231969
Thornton919831968
Olney920241969
Floydada920241976
Haskell920241995
Wills Point920161994
Saragosa920242022
Gainesville820241967
Raymondville820241969
Manor820242012

Killdeer Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseeutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.