BirdAnalyst
Species · Vermont · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Killdeer Population Trend in Vermont

All statesShorebirds

Killdeer in Vermont has collapsed: down 94% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-94%Since 1968
26Routes In State
57Years

Notable Killdeer Trends in Vermont

long arc declinecomputed index

Killdeer has collapsed in Vermont: down 94% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Killdeer Population Forecast in Vermont

If the recent trend holds, Killdeer in Vermont is projected to fall about 50% by 2029 — from 0.17 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.08 (95% range 0.00–2.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±686.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-50%Change by 2029
0.08Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.195% range
±686.6%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.330.002.3
20260.270.002.3
20270.200.002.2
20280.140.002.1
20290.080.002.1

Killdeer Survey Routes in Vermont

Routes recording Killdeer in Vermont.
Hinesburg719941966
Waterville619801969
S Wallingfrd320131966
Middlesex320191969
Gaysville220191967
East Calais220131966
Newbury219951986
Marlboro119701967
North Pownal120051967
Stratton120171973
Landgrove120191966
S Reading120111966
Post Mills120161975
Shaftsbury120091966
W Rutland120241966
St Johnsbury120241970
East Haven120161966
Northfld Fls120111980
Hardwick120131966
Greensboro120191967
Fletcher120241968
Colchester120191986
Grand Isle120171967
Newbury 2120102010
Stowe120051988

Killdeer Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.