BirdAnalyst
Species · New York · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Killdeer Population Trend in New York

All statesShorebirds

Killdeer in New York has declined: down 35% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-35%Since 1968
125Routes In State
58Years

Notable Killdeer Trends in New York

No notable trend signals for Killdeer in New York. See the full index history below.

Killdeer Population Forecast in New York

If the recent trend holds, Killdeer in New York is projected to fall about 20% by 2029 — from 2.9 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.3 (95% range 0.35–4.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±9.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-20%Change by 2029
2.3Projected 2029 index
0.35–4.395% range
±9.8%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.60.644.6
20262.50.574.5
20272.50.504.4
20282.40.424.3
20292.30.354.3

Killdeer Survey Routes in New York

Routes recording Killdeer in New York.
Romulus1320001968
Orleans1220241967
E Youngstown1120231966
Churchville1120241968
Byron1020241967
Watertown820121967
Alder Creek820041968
Waddington819981981
Durham719761966
Macdougall720241969
Nashville720181967
Oneida720101968
Philadelphia720241980
Hauppauge620081987
Petersburg620121966
Rushville620241968
Branchport620241967
Hope Falls619941970
North Easton620241967
Cayuga520241969
Mendon520241967
Penfield520241968
Pulaski520241967
Argyle520241968
Fowler519681966

Killdeer Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.