BirdAnalyst
Species · Arkansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Killdeer Population Trend in Arkansas

All statesShorebirds

Killdeer in Arkansas has surged: up 196% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+196%Since 1969
54Routes In State
57Years

Notable Killdeer Trends in Arkansas

long arc increasecomputed index

Killdeer has surged in Arkansas: up 196% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Killdeer Population Forecast in Arkansas

If the recent trend holds, Killdeer in Arkansas is projected to rise about 19% by 2029 — from 7.9 in 2024 to a central estimate of 9.3 (95% range 5.9–13). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±20.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+19%Change by 2029
9.3Projected 2029 index
5.9–1395% range
±20.5%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20258.95.612
20269.05.612
20279.15.713
20289.25.813
20299.35.913

Killdeer Survey Routes in Arkansas

Routes recording Killdeer in Arkansas.
Dell7120242010
Wilson5020241993
Kelso4820162010
Ulm4720241986
Lafe3620222017
Whitton3419911967
West Tyler2219841967
Maynard1920241967
Hickory Ridge1620222010
Augusta 21620162002
Hughes1320231969
England1320242010
Harrisburg1220191967
Lockesburg720182011
Avoca620241967
Farwell620182010
Gillett520242010
Eudora420241967
Ashdown420231967
Old Milo320141967
South Bend320231968
Blakely319991970
Locust Bayou220221967
Crows219911967
Poyen220071967

Killdeer Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonacaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.