Species · Massachusetts · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Killdeer Population Trend in Massachusetts
Killdeer in Massachusetts has fallen sharply: down 68% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-68%Since 1968
30Routes In State
58Years
Notable Killdeer Trends in Massachusetts
long arc declinecomputed index
Killdeer has fallen sharply in Massachusetts: down 68% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Killdeer Population Forecast in Massachusetts
If the recent trend holds, Killdeer in Massachusetts is projected to fall about 54% by 2029 — from 0.80 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.37 (95% range 0.00–1.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±71.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-54%Change by 2029
0.37Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.195% range
±71.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.44 | 0.00 | 1.2 |
| 2026 | 0.42 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
| 2027 | 0.41 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
| 2028 | 0.39 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
| 2029 | 0.37 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
Killdeer Survey Routes in Massachusetts
| Mansfield | 4 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Holden | 4 | 2021 | 1984 |
| S Barre | 3 | 2024 | 1969 |
| E Dennis | 2 | 1978 | 1977 |
| Marion | 2 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Wellfleet | 2 | 2007 | 1979 |
| Prattville | 2 | 2016 | 1966 |
| Warren | 2 | 2006 | 1968 |
| Cummington 2 | 2 | 2015 | 2015 |
| Hancock | 2 | 2014 | 2001 |
| Brockton | 1 | 2011 | 1975 |
| Newburyport | 1 | 2022 | 1967 |
| Maynard | 1 | 2021 | 1967 |
| Littleton | 1 | 2022 | 1967 |
| N Oxford | 1 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Princeton | 1 | 1974 | 1972 |
| E Pepperell | 1 | 1993 | 1966 |
| Belchertown | 1 | 2021 | 1967 |
| N Orange | 1 | 1999 | 1968 |
| Cummington | 1 | 2013 | 1971 |
| Chesterfield | 1 | 2018 | 1973 |
| Cheshire | 1 | 1994 | 1970 |
| Pittsfield | 1 | 2005 | 1968 |
| Sheffield | 1 | 2013 | 1970 |
| Monterey | 1 | 2023 | 2023 |
Killdeer Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.