BirdAnalyst
Species · Tennessee · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Killdeer Population Trend in Tennessee

All statesShorebirds

Killdeer in Tennessee has increased: up 33% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+33%Since 1968
46Routes In State
58Years

Notable Killdeer Trends in Tennessee

No notable trend signals for Killdeer in Tennessee. See the full index history below.

Killdeer Population Forecast in Tennessee

If the recent trend holds, Killdeer in Tennessee is projected to rise about 30% by 2029 — from 2.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.3 (95% range 1.2–5.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±85.3%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+30%Change by 2029
3.3Projected 2029 index
1.2–5.395% range
±85.3%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20253.31.25.4
20263.31.25.4
20273.31.25.3
20283.31.25.3
20293.31.25.3

Killdeer Survey Routes in Tennessee

Routes recording Killdeer in Tennessee.
Pawpaw3320121966
Collinwood1220241968
Pond Creek920241968
Soddy919811967
Humboldt620241966
Bradyville620211966
Mansfield520241971
Wrigley520211967
Corryton Rd520191966
Pawpaw 2520232013
Peytonsville420241966
Glen420241967
Walland419891966
Tiptonville320231969
Tibbs320241966
Belotes Bend320181966
Lovell320191967
Climer320041967
Jefferson Cty320111966
Jones Gap320191982
Signal Mtn220241981
Big Sandy220241966
Campbellsville220191968
Petersburg220191966
Tullahoma220151968

Killdeer Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.