BirdAnalyst
Species · Florida · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Turkey Vulture Population Trend in Florida

All statesBirds of prey

Turkey Vulture in Florida has held roughly steady: up 9% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+9%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
125Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Turkey Vulture Trends in FloridaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Turkey Vulture in Florida. See the full index history below.

Turkey Vulture Population Forecast in Florida

If the recent trend holds, Turkey Vulture in Florida is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 8.0 (95% range 5.7–10). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-3%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
8.0Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
5.7–1095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Turkey Vulture in Florida is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 8.0 (95% range 5.7–10). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20267.85.510
20277.95.610
20287.95.610
20297.95.710
20308.05.710

Turkey Vulture Survey Routes in Florida

Routes recording Turkey Vulture in Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Broad Branch3820251967
Weaver Stn3720191987
Pinecrest3520251966
Belmont3420251967
Blountstown3220241968
Wildernes Pk3220141992
Steinhatchee2720251966
Mossy Head2620111967
Pleasant Grove 22520252010
Hilliard2420251966
Sanderson2420211966
Alligator Pt2420251987
Betts1820251987
Sanderson 21820242022
Tamiami1719741966
Shawano1720021987
Lovedale1620111988
Hixtown Swmp1520251987
Mt. Olive1420252002
Dale Mabry1319881966
Belmore1320241966
Mabel1320111967
Croom1320251987
Holey Land1320251987
Scottsmoor1220251968

Turkey Vulture Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.