BirdAnalyst
Species · Florida · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Turkey Vulture Population Trend in Florida

All statesGeneralists

Turkey Vulture in Florida has held roughly steady: up 4% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+4%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
125Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Turkey Vulture Trends in FloridaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Turkey Vulture in Florida. See the full index history below.

Turkey Vulture Population Forecast in Florida

If the recent trend holds, Turkey Vulture in Florida is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 7.9 (95% range 5.6–10). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±10%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-4%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
7.9Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
5.6–1095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±10%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Turkey Vulture in Florida is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 7.9 (95% range 5.6–10). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±10%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20257.75.510
20267.85.510
20277.85.510
20287.95.610
20297.95.610

Turkey Vulture Survey Routes in Florida

Routes recording Turkey Vulture in Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Scottsmoor5420241968
Weaver Stn3720191987
Holey Land3520241987
Blountstown3220241968
Wildernes Pk3220141992
Mossy Head2620111967
Sanderson2420211966
Broad Branch2220241967
Pinecrest2020241966
Devils Gardn1920241987
Hildreth 21920242010
Mt. Olive1920242002
Sanderson 21820242022
Tamiami1719741966
Shawano1720021987
Lovedale1620111988
Ft Lonesome1520241967
Dale Mabry1319881966
Belmore1320241966
Mabel1320111967
Mabel 21320192012
Flamingo1220241983
Babcock Rnch1219901988
Andytown1119981974
Betts1120241987

Turkey Vulture Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.