BirdAnalyst
Species · Georgia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Turkey Vulture Population Trend in Georgia

All statesGeneralists

Turkey Vulture in Georgia has surged: up 619% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+619%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
110Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Turkey Vulture Trends in GeorgiaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Turkey Vulture has surged in Georgia: up 619% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Turkey Vulture Population Forecast in Georgia

If the recent trend holds, Turkey Vulture in Georgia is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 7.6 (95% range 6.1–9.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.5%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-4%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
7.6Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
6.1–9.195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±13.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Turkey Vulture in Georgia is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 7.6 (95% range 6.1–9.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.5%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20257.25.78.7
20267.35.88.8
20277.45.98.9
20287.56.09.0
20297.66.19.1

Turkey Vulture Survey Routes in Georgia

Routes recording Turkey Vulture in Georgia.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Shiloh5020242012
Coffee Co4120241987
Workmore3820191979
Finleyson2220241993
Maxeys2120241975
Stoney Point2120072007
Dover1920241977
Weber1920242006
Wrightsville1720241981
Newton1620241975
Ware Co1620241986
Nashville1520241975
Ball Ground1520212019
Tarver1520241991
Irwinton1520242016
Doles1420221984
Needmore1319831977
Vidalia1320241995
Sharon1320222018
Macon1220241979
Juliette1220241976
Hollonville 21220222021
Minter Tweed1220242006
Darien1120181966
Fowlstown1120161989

Turkey Vulture Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.