BirdAnalyst
Species · New York · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Turkey Vulture Population Trend in New York

All statesGeneralists

Turkey Vulture in New York has surged: up 17× on the route-weighted index since 1968.

17×Since 1968
108Routes In State
58Years

Notable Turkey Vulture Trends in New York

long arc increasecomputed index

Turkey Vulture has surged in New York: up 17× on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Turkey Vulture Population Forecast in New York

If the recent trend holds, Turkey Vulture in New York is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 1.7 (95% range 1.1–2.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±35.5%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-9%Change by 2029
1.7Projected 2029 index
1.1–2.495% range
±35.5%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.60.942.3
20261.60.972.3
20271.71.02.3
20281.71.02.4
20291.71.12.4

Turkey Vulture Survey Routes in New York

Routes recording Turkey Vulture in New York.
Romulus3820001975
Warwick 21420131979
Highland1320221997
Westbrookvle1220191966
Centerville1120111986
W Shokan1020181984
Philadelphia1020241981
Argyle920241988
Sheridan820241979
Nashville720181968
Canadice L620241979
Mendon620241982
Warwick519731969
Mt Hope519981975
Corbettsvile520241968
Oriskany Fls520212005
Dryden520242001
Macdougall520241972
Rushville520212005
Austerlitz420242003
Meridale420211976
Whitney Pt420161990
Phillips Cr420241984
Kasoag420242010
Newcomb420212000

Turkey Vulture Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.