BirdAnalyst
Species · New Mexico · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Yellow-breasted Chat Population Trend in New Mexico

All statesGeneralists

Yellow-breasted Chat in New Mexico has surged: up 965% on the route-weighted index since 1977.

+965%Since 1977
39Routes In State
44Years

Notable Yellow-breasted Chat Trends in New Mexico

long arc increasecomputed index

Yellow-breasted Chat has surged in New Mexico: up 965% on the route-weighted index since 1977.

Yellow-breasted Chat Population Forecast in New Mexico

If the recent trend holds, Yellow-breasted Chat in New Mexico is projected to fall about 33% by 2029 — from 2.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.5 (95% range 1.0–2.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18.9%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-33%Change by 2029
1.5Projected 2029 index
1.0–2.095% range
±18.9%Backtest error
19692029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.40.901.9
20261.40.931.9
20271.40.961.9
20281.50.992.0
20291.51.02.0

Yellow-breasted Chat Survey Routes in New Mexico

Routes recording Yellow-breasted Chat in New Mexico.
Laborcita 24320242022
Laborcita3120191992
Red Rock2020241992
Escondida1120241998
La Cienega720221996
Emory Pass620241993
Gallinas520241997
Reserve520231993
San Antonio419771974
Magdalena420242005
Ojo Sarco320241969
Pecos320172013
Angel Fire 2320242008
Cooley Lake220241979
Jornada219891987
La Plata 2220162014
Bitter Lake220152015
Mesilla220001993
Queen220162013
Sanostee220242023
Sabinoso220191988
Logan220241988
Cebolla120231978
Capulin119931993
Grenville119931993

Yellow-breasted Chat Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniasouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.