BirdAnalyst
Species · Florida · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Yellow-breasted Chat Population Trend in Florida

All statesGeneralists

Yellow-breasted Chat in Florida has surged: up 118% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+118%Since 1968
45Routes In State
58Years

Notable Yellow-breasted Chat Trends in Florida

long arc increasecomputed index

Yellow-breasted Chat has surged in Florida: up 118% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Yellow-breasted Chat Population Forecast in Florida

If the recent trend holds, Yellow-breasted Chat in Florida is projected to rise about 80% by 2029 — from 0.39 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.69 (95% range 0.00–1.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±120.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+80%Change by 2029
0.69Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.495% range
±120.7%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.700.001.4
20260.700.001.4
20270.700.001.4
20280.690.001.4
20290.690.001.4

Yellow-breasted Chat Survey Routes in Florida

Routes recording Yellow-breasted Chat in Florida.
Lovedale1320111987
Eglin A.F.B.1120111997
Oak Grove 21020242017
Miccosukee820231966
Oak Grove520161969
New Hope520112009
Blountstown320241967
Blackwater320241987
Miller Xrds320191987
Nixon319861985
Telogia219841968
Covington220151968
Betts220241987
Bristol220091986
Ft Waltn Bch120091992
Mossy Head120111966
Broad Branch120241969
Seminole Hls120001968
Port St Joe120131969
Steinhatchee120011966
Belmont119871973
Micanopy119701970
Apalachicola120171988
Ft Gadsden120241969
Ocala120052005

Yellow-breasted Chat Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniasouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.