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Species · Georgia · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Yellow-breasted Chat Population Trend in Georgia

All statesForest birds

Yellow-breasted Chat in Georgia has fallen sharply: down 55% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-55%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
108Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Yellow-breasted Chat Trends in GeorgiaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc declinecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Yellow-breasted Chat has fallen sharply in Georgia: down 55% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Yellow-breasted Chat Population Forecast in Georgia

If the recent trend holds, Yellow-breasted Chat in Georgia is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 6.6 (95% range 2.8–10). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±20.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+9%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
6.6Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.8–1095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±20.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Yellow-breasted Chat in Georgia is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 6.6 (95% range 2.8–10). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±20.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20266.72.910
20276.72.910
20286.72.910
20296.62.810
20306.62.810

Yellow-breasted Chat Survey Routes in Georgia

Routes recording Yellow-breasted Chat in Georgia.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Barges3420252011
Carrs Station2120252008
Courthouse2020251966
Boston2020251975
Minter Tweed1820252006
Yates Crossroads1720252005
Henderson1620251973
Lincolnton 21620252018
Irwinton1620252016
Curry Hill1620192006
Rentz1520251977
Metasville1520001997
Wrightsville1220251966
Maxeys1220241966
Tazewell1220251967
Lincolnton1120171966
Juliette1120251975
White Hill1120252005
Doles1020221975
Bowdon1020251973
Roland1020252005
Workmore920251978
Dover920251992
Stoney Point920072007
Union820242014

Yellow-breasted Chat Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniasouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.