BirdAnalyst
Species · Georgia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Yellow-breasted Chat Population Trend in Georgia

All statesGeneralists

Yellow-breasted Chat in Georgia has fallen sharply: down 55% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-55%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
108Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Yellow-breasted Chat Trends in GeorgiaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc declinecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Yellow-breasted Chat has fallen sharply in Georgia: down 55% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Yellow-breasted Chat Population Forecast in Georgia

If the recent trend holds, Yellow-breasted Chat in Georgia is projected to rise about 26% by 2029 — from 5.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 6.7 (95% range 2.9–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+26%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
6.7Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.9–1195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±17.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Yellow-breasted Chat in Georgia is projected to rise about 26% by 2029 — from 5.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 6.7 (95% range 2.9–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20256.82.911
20266.82.911
20276.72.911
20286.72.911
20296.72.911

Yellow-breasted Chat Survey Routes in Georgia

Routes recording Yellow-breasted Chat in Georgia.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Wrightsville2520241966
Yates Crossroads2520242005
Rentz1920241977
Barges1920242011
Tazewell1720241967
Carrs Station1620242008
Curry Hill1620192006
Courthouse1520241966
Metasville1520001997
Lincolnton 21420242018
Maxeys1220241966
Wadley1220241977
Lincolnton1120171966
Ball Ground1120212019
Roland1120242005
Henderson1020241973
Doles1020221975
Workmore1020191978
Minter Tweed1020242006
Stoney Point920072007
Finleyson820241982
Pitts820241979
White Hill820242005
Owensboro820242010
Dickey820182005

Yellow-breasted Chat Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniasouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.