BirdAnalyst
Species · Arizona · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Yellow-breasted Chat Population Trend in Arizona

All statesGeneralists

Yellow-breasted Chat in Arizona has edged up: up 13% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+13%Since 1970
34Routes In State
56Years

Notable Yellow-breasted Chat Trends in Arizona

No notable trend signals for Yellow-breasted Chat in Arizona. See the full index history below.

Yellow-breasted Chat Population Forecast in Arizona

If the recent trend holds, Yellow-breasted Chat in Arizona is projected to fall about 18% by 2029 — from 3.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.7 (95% range 0.79–4.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±20.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-18%Change by 2029
2.7Projected 2029 index
0.79–4.595% range
±20.2%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.60.784.5
20262.60.784.5
20272.60.794.5
20282.70.794.5
20292.70.794.5

Yellow-breasted Chat Survey Routes in Arizona

Routes recording Yellow-breasted Chat in Arizona.
Pomerene6320241968
Amado2920231993
Patagonia2420241968
Cutter 21720182015
Redington1120231993
Peña Blanca820241975
Forest Lakes820241994
Araby620211992
Sprucedale620231992
Florence519881968
Skull Valley520241997
Blue219911975
Red Rock 2220232015
Cibola Lake220221993
Red Rock220141992
Sunizona 2220222022
Portal120221975
Prescott119811981
Laguna120231985
Ajo119791979
San Simon120241994
Lukeville119771977
Sunizona119971973
Palo Verde 2120232023
Alamo Res.120171995

Yellow-breasted Chat Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniasouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.