BirdAnalyst
Species · Virginia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Redstart Population Trend in Virginia

All statesForest birds

American Redstart in Virginia has surged: up 432% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+432%Since 1968
70Routes In State
58Years

Notable American Redstart Trends in Virginia

long arc increasecomputed index

American Redstart has surged in Virginia: up 432% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

American Redstart Population Forecast in Virginia

If the recent trend holds, American Redstart in Virginia is projected to fall about 11% by 2029 — from 4.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.0 (95% range 2.2–5.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±25.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-11%Change by 2029
4.0Projected 2029 index
2.2–5.795% range
±25.1%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20253.72.05.4
20263.82.05.5
20273.82.15.6
20283.92.25.6
20294.02.25.7

American Redstart Survey Routes in Virginia

Routes recording American Redstart in Virginia.
Big Meadows6720241993
Front Royal5920241993
Bald Knob1620241992
W Augusta1220241967
Amherst1220241975
Pine Mtn.1120241996
Shenandoa Np1120241993
Rural Retrt920241982
Loft Mtn920231993
Mountain Lk.620181992
Gr North Mtn520241993
Isom420241969
Shipman420241969
Ivanhoe419661966
Hebron420091992
Dismal Swamp420161992
Stanley320242000
Covington320241966
Quinby319681968
Elamsville320141978
Taylorstown219851985
Tryme220171995
Partlow220071989
Newbern219701970
Hall219721967

American Redstart Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontwashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.