Species · Michigan · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Redstart Population Trend in Michigan

American Redstart in Michigan has surged: up 380% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+380%Since 1968
103Routes In State
58Years

Notable American Redstart Trends in Michigan

long arc increasecomputed index

American Redstart has surged in Michigan: up 379% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

American Redstart Population Forecast in Michigan

If the recent trend holds, American Redstart in Michigan is projected to fall about 16% by 2029 — from 8.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 7.3 (95% range 5.4–9.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-16%Change by 2029
7.3Projected 2029 index
5.49.395% range
±17.6%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20256.94.98.9
20267.05.09.0
20277.15.19.1
20287.25.29.2
20297.35.49.3

American Redstart Survey Routes in Michigan

Routes recording American Redstart in Michigan.
Tahquamenon3820241974
Muskallonge3720241968
Gilchrist3720211974
Bergland3620221979
Pickford3320241973
Ontonagon3020191967
Maple Grove2720241968
Shingleton2620241967
Hiawatha Nf2520241992
Harrietta2320241990
Walloon Lake 22320242005
Raco1820241971
Pleasant Valley 21820242004
Bear Lake1720241967
Isabella 21620242013
Marenisco1420191981
Riggsville1420191967
Bootjack1320231967
Lake City1220221970
Chippewa Lk.1220241992
Ishpeming1120231980
Herron1120162011
Big Island Lake1120102008
Scottville1020241971
Walloon Lake1020041977

American Redstart Population Trend in Other States

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.