Species · Michigan · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
American Redstart Population Trend in Michigan
American Redstart in Michigan has surged: up 380% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+380%Since 1968
103Routes In State
58Years
Notable American Redstart Trends in Michigan
long arc increasecomputed index
American Redstart has surged in Michigan: up 379% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
American Redstart Population Forecast in Michigan
If the recent trend holds, American Redstart in Michigan is projected to fall about 16% by 2029 — from 8.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 7.3 (95% range 5.4–9.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-16%Change by 2029
7.3Projected 2029 index
5.4–9.395% range
±17.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6.9 | 4.9 | 8.9 |
| 2026 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 |
| 2027 | 7.1 | 5.1 | 9.1 |
| 2028 | 7.2 | 5.2 | 9.2 |
| 2029 | 7.3 | 5.4 | 9.3 |
American Redstart Survey Routes in Michigan
| Tahquamenon | 38 | 2024 | 1974 |
| Muskallonge | 37 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Gilchrist | 37 | 2021 | 1974 |
| Bergland | 36 | 2022 | 1979 |
| Pickford | 33 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Ontonagon | 30 | 2019 | 1967 |
| Maple Grove | 27 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Shingleton | 26 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Hiawatha Nf | 25 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Harrietta | 23 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Walloon Lake 2 | 23 | 2024 | 2005 |
| Raco | 18 | 2024 | 1971 |
| Pleasant Valley 2 | 18 | 2024 | 2004 |
| Bear Lake | 17 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Isabella 2 | 16 | 2024 | 2013 |
| Marenisco | 14 | 2019 | 1981 |
| Riggsville | 14 | 2019 | 1967 |
| Bootjack | 13 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Lake City | 12 | 2022 | 1970 |
| Chippewa Lk. | 12 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Ishpeming | 11 | 2023 | 1980 |
| Herron | 11 | 2016 | 2011 |
| Big Island Lake | 11 | 2010 | 2008 |
| Scottville | 10 | 2024 | 1971 |
| Walloon Lake | 10 | 2004 | 1977 |
American Redstart Population Trend in Other States
alabamaalaskaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.