Species · New York · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
American Redstart Population Trend in New York
American Redstart in New York has risen sharply: up 50% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+50%Since 1968
128Routes In State
58Years
Notable American Redstart Trends in New York
long arc increasecomputed index
American Redstart has risen sharply in New York: up 50% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
American Redstart Population Forecast in New York
If the recent trend holds, American Redstart in New York is projected to fall about 19% by 2029 — from 5.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.5 (95% range 2.5–6.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±9.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-19%Change by 2029
4.5Projected 2029 index
2.5–6.495% range
±9.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 6.5 |
| 2026 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 6.5 |
| 2027 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 6.4 |
| 2028 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 6.4 |
| 2029 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 6.4 |
American Redstart Survey Routes in New York
| Dexter Lake | 37 | 1975 | 1968 |
| Pulaski | 31 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Sabattis | 26 | 1983 | 1966 |
| Corbettsvile | 20 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Oneonta | 20 | 2024 | 1968 |
| S Berne 2 | 19 | 2024 | 2014 |
| Mcdonough | 18 | 2017 | 1967 |
| Austerlitz | 17 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Philadelphia | 16 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Blue Ridge S | 15 | 2010 | 1969 |
| Petersburg | 12 | 2013 | 1966 |
| Cayuga | 12 | 2024 | 1971 |
| Cicero Ctr | 12 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Ogdensburg | 12 | 2024 | 1979 |
| Mt Morris | 11 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Nashville | 11 | 2018 | 1967 |
| Inlet | 11 | 2017 | 1979 |
| Watertown | 10 | 2012 | 1968 |
| Cobleskill | 9 | 2023 | 1968 |
| North Easton | 9 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Sciota | 9 | 2006 | 1968 |
| Laurens | 8 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Kasoag | 8 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Hope Falls | 8 | 1995 | 1968 |
| Salem | 8 | 2024 | 1969 |
American Redstart Population Trend in Other States
alabamaalaskaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.