BirdAnalyst
Species · Kentucky · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Redstart Population Trend in Kentucky

All statesForest birds

American Redstart in Kentucky has fallen sharply: down 55% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-55%Since 1968
29Routes In State
58Years

Notable American Redstart Trends in Kentucky

long arc declinecomputed index

American Redstart has fallen sharply in Kentucky: down 54% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

American Redstart Population Forecast in Kentucky

If the recent trend holds, American Redstart in Kentucky is projected to rise about 112% by 2029 — from 0.14 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.30 (95% range 0.00–0.78). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±62.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+112%Change by 2029
0.30Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.7895% range
±62.6%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.310.000.78
20260.310.000.78
20270.300.000.78
20280.300.000.78
20290.300.000.78

American Redstart Survey Routes in Kentucky

Routes recording American Redstart in Kentucky.
Paintsville519951979
Staffordsvil519971996
Campton520212011
Cumberlnd Gp420181966
Beattyville419991966
Phelps419971979
Apex220072007
Mckee219751970
Pine Ridge219781966
Kehoe219821972
Beattyville 2220242006
Lovelacevile120241979
Mammoth Cave120001995
Keysburg119761976
Monticello120221968
Bardwell120001967
Pippa Passes119971988
Levee119771972
Million119731973
Carter120241976
Hustonville120071973
Kehoe 2120192005
Demunbruns120001968
Gatewood119851984
Eastview119931976

American Redstart Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaslouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.