BirdAnalyst
Species · South Dakota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Redstart Population Trend in South Dakota

All statesForest birds

American Redstart in South Dakota has surged: up 184% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+184%Since 1969
23Routes In State
45Years

Notable American Redstart Trends in South Dakota

long arc increasecomputed index

American Redstart has surged in South Dakota: up 184% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

American Redstart Population Forecast in South Dakota

If the recent trend holds, American Redstart in South Dakota is projected to fall about 26% by 2029 — from 0.41 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.30 (95% range 0.09–0.51). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±26.7%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-26%Change by 2029
0.30Projected 2029 index
0.09–0.5195% range
±26.7%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.280.070.49
20260.290.080.50
20270.290.080.50
20280.300.090.51
20290.300.090.51

American Redstart Survey Routes in South Dakota

Routes recording American Redstart in South Dakota.
Long Draw520241992
Winner219711971
Rosebud219671967
Wilmot220242022
Promise220122011
Gorman219801980
Lennox120192012
Tripp120242007
Rockyford120221988
Wind Cave Np120241999
Laplant119751971
Owanka119861986
Roubaix Lk119881967
Volunteer119691969
Custer120231968
Maurine119721972
Reva119901990
Ardmore120192013
Hill City120112011
Black Fox120142001
Norbeck120022002
Rochford120112007
Hazelrodt120172017

American Redstart Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.