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Species · Georgia · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

American Redstart Population Trend in Georgia

All statesForest birds

American Redstart in Georgia has fallen sharply: down 56% on the route-weighted index since 1975.

-56%Since 1975TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
25Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
38YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable American Redstart Trends in GeorgiaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc declinecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

American Redstart has fallen sharply in Georgia: down 56% on the route-weighted index since 1975.

American Redstart Population Forecast in Georgia

If the recent trend holds, American Redstart in Georgia is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 0.07 (95% range 0.00–0.17). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±45.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.07Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.1795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±45.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, American Redstart in Georgia is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 0.07 (95% range 0.00–0.17). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±45.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.070.000.17
20270.070.000.17
20280.070.000.17
20290.070.000.17
20300.070.000.17

American Redstart Survey Routes in Georgia

Routes recording American Redstart in Georgia.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Baxter1020191975
Cartersville419791978
Yates Crossroads320052005
Darien219831982
Courthouse220221986
Guyton219831983
Lincolnton220151986
Baldwin220101967
Jacksonboro220182011
Barges220252013
Carrs Station220232023
Hebron220052005
Cuthbert119871987
Wrightsville120231997
Forsyth119731973
Crest119941975
Hollonville119971975
Henderson120192019
Bowdon119761976
Mountain Cty120091975
Rutledge120211981
Deepstep120232023
Dickey120162016
Candler120102009
Whitesburg120032003

American Redstart Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawareidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.