BirdAnalyst
Species · Georgia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Redstart Population Trend in Georgia

All statesForest birds

American Redstart in Georgia has declined: down 35% on the route-weighted index since 1975.

-35%Since 1975TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
25Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
37YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable American Redstart Trends in GeorgiaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for American Redstart in Georgia. See the full index history below.

American Redstart Population Forecast in Georgia

If the recent trend holds, American Redstart in Georgia is projected to rise about 20% by 2029 — from 0.06 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.07 (95% range 0.00–0.18). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±37.1%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+20%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.07Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.1895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±37.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, American Redstart in Georgia is projected to rise about 20% by 2029 — from 0.06 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.07 (95% range 0.00–0.18). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±37.1%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.070.000.18
20260.070.000.18
20270.070.000.18
20280.070.000.18
20290.070.000.18

American Redstart Survey Routes in Georgia

Routes recording American Redstart in Georgia.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Baxter1020191975
Cartersville419791978
Barges420242013
Yates Crossroads320052005
Darien219831982
Courthouse220221986
Guyton219831983
Lincolnton220151986
Baldwin220101967
Jacksonboro220182011
Carrs Station220232023
Hebron220052005
Cuthbert119871987
Wrightsville120231997
Forsyth119731973
Crest119941975
Hollonville119971975
Henderson120192019
Bowdon119761976
Mountain Cty120091975
Rutledge120211981
Deepstep120232023
Dickey120162016
Candler120102009
Whitesburg120032003

American Redstart Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawareidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.