BirdAnalyst
Species · New Jersey · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Redstart Population Trend in New Jersey

All statesForest birds

American Redstart in New Jersey has surged: up 872% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+872%Since 1968
30Routes In State
58Years

Notable American Redstart Trends in New Jersey

long arc increasecomputed index

American Redstart has surged in New Jersey: up 872% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

American Redstart Population Forecast in New Jersey

If the recent trend holds, American Redstart in New Jersey is projected to rise about 55% by 2029 — from 2.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.5 (95% range 2.4–4.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±34.3%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+55%Change by 2029
3.5Projected 2029 index
2.4–4.595% range
±34.3%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20253.22.24.3
20263.32.24.3
20273.32.34.4
20283.42.44.4
20293.52.44.5

American Redstart Survey Routes in New Jersey

Routes recording American Redstart in New Jersey.
High Point2420241977
Kemah Lake920241967
Bloomsbury520241969
Pomona520241979
Bennett Mill419761966
Deepwater219771977
Holmansville219951970
New Bedford219971971
Croton220071970
Hope219941970
Cranbury219911987
Spraguetown 3220242023
Winslow220101989
Ramseysburg220241995
Woodbury Hgt120152008
Greenwich120211973
Six Points120231978
Spraguetown 2120122012
Albion119721966
Sandbrook120021970
Midvale120211971
Dover120191977
Pottersville120151977
Gillette120221992
Keyport120211990

American Redstart Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.