Species · Pennsylvania · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
American Redstart Population Trend in Pennsylvania
American Redstart in Pennsylvania has surged: up 143% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+143%Since 1968
131Routes In State
58Years
Notable American Redstart Trends in Pennsylvania
long arc increasecomputed index
American Redstart has surged in Pennsylvania: up 143% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
American Redstart Population Forecast in Pennsylvania
If the recent trend holds, American Redstart in Pennsylvania is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 6.7 (95% range 5.3–8.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±8.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+8%Change by 2029
6.7Projected 2029 index
5.3–8.295% range
±8.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6.4 | 5.0 | 7.9 |
| 2026 | 6.5 | 5.1 | 8.0 |
| 2027 | 6.6 | 5.1 | 8.0 |
| 2028 | 6.6 | 5.2 | 8.1 |
| 2029 | 6.7 | 5.3 | 8.2 |
American Redstart Survey Routes in Pennsylvania
| Laurel Hill | 41 | 2024 | 1978 |
| Mill Run | 35 | 2024 | 1978 |
| Tussey Mtn. | 27 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Broad Mtn. | 26 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Rasselas | 25 | 2022 | 1970 |
| Pine Gr Mill | 24 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Poyntelle | 22 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Duboistown | 22 | 2024 | 1988 |
| Betula | 21 | 2022 | 1973 |
| Eldred | 20 | 2022 | 1973 |
| Hop Bottom | 19 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Duvall | 18 | 2021 | 1975 |
| Mawr Glen | 15 | 2024 | 1982 |
| Honesdale | 15 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Ellenton | 15 | 2024 | 1982 |
| Marsh Hill | 14 | 2024 | 1983 |
| Canadensis | 14 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Ltl Pine Cr | 14 | 2024 | 1990 |
| English Ctr | 13 | 1989 | 1987 |
| Starlight | 13 | 1999 | 1970 |
| Geeseytown | 13 | 2024 | 1987 |
| Starlight 2 | 12 | 2024 | 2000 |
| Roulette | 11 | 2021 | 1976 |
| Martinsburg | 11 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Landisburg | 11 | 2024 | 1978 |
American Redstart Population Trend in Other States
alabamaalaskaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonrhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.