Species · Pennsylvania · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Redstart Population Trend in Pennsylvania

American Redstart in Pennsylvania has surged: up 143% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+143%Since 1968
131Routes In State
58Years

Notable American Redstart Trends in Pennsylvania

long arc increasecomputed index

American Redstart has surged in Pennsylvania: up 143% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

American Redstart Population Forecast in Pennsylvania

If the recent trend holds, American Redstart in Pennsylvania is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 6.7 (95% range 5.3–8.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±8.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+8%Change by 2029
6.7Projected 2029 index
5.38.295% range
±8.2%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20256.45.07.9
20266.55.18.0
20276.65.18.0
20286.65.28.1
20296.75.38.2

American Redstart Survey Routes in Pennsylvania

Routes recording American Redstart in Pennsylvania.
Laurel Hill4120241978
Mill Run3520241978
Tussey Mtn.2720241993
Broad Mtn.2620241993
Rasselas2520221970
Pine Gr Mill2420241968
Poyntelle2220241969
Duboistown2220241988
Betula2120221973
Eldred2020221973
Hop Bottom1920241967
Duvall1820211975
Mawr Glen1520241982
Honesdale1520241972
Ellenton1520241982
Marsh Hill1420241983
Canadensis1420241969
Ltl Pine Cr1420241990
English Ctr1319891987
Starlight1319991970
Geeseytown1320241987
Starlight 21220242000
Roulette1120211976
Martinsburg1120241970
Landisburg1120241978

American Redstart Population Trend in Other States

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.