Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Redstart Population Trend in Texas

American Redstart in Texas has collapsed: down 84% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-84%Since 1970
9Routes In State
19Years

Notable American Redstart Trends in Texas

long arc declinecomputed index

American Redstart has collapsed in Texas: down 84% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

American Redstart Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, American Redstart in Texas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2024, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.03). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±45.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2024
0.00Projected 2024 index
0.000.0395% range
±45.4%Backtest error
19682024
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20200.000.000.03
20210.000.000.03
20220.000.000.03
20230.000.000.03
20240.000.000.03

American Redstart Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording American Redstart in Texas.
New Waverly220121969
Big Sandy Bith120182018
Wolfe City119781978
Diboll120031970
Alexander St120002000
Weches120112003
Cayuga120092009
Crossroads120192019
Chandler119701968

American Redstart Population Trend in Other States

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.