Species · Arkansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
American Redstart Population Trend in Arkansas
American Redstart in Arkansas has fallen sharply: down 63% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-63%Since 1969
32Routes In State
54Years
Notable American Redstart Trends in Arkansas
long arc declinecomputed index
American Redstart has fallen sharply in Arkansas: down 63% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
American Redstart Population Forecast in Arkansas
If the recent trend holds, American Redstart in Arkansas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.20 (95% range 0.00–0.55). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±53.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-9%Change by 2029
0.20Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.5595% range
±53.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.55 |
| 2026 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.55 |
| 2027 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.55 |
| 2028 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.55 |
| 2029 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.55 |
American Redstart Survey Routes in Arkansas
| Stark | 3 | 1968 | 1967 |
| Farwell | 3 | 2016 | 2010 |
| Marshall | 3 | 2021 | 2011 |
| Harrisburg | 2 | 1967 | 1967 |
| Saffell | 2 | 1969 | 1969 |
| Compton | 2 | 2022 | 1967 |
| Rudy | 2 | 2022 | 2012 |
| Boston Mtn. | 2 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Old Milo | 1 | 1982 | 1967 |
| Ramsey | 1 | 1997 | 1967 |
| Locust Bayou | 1 | 1973 | 1973 |
| Stamps | 1 | 2017 | 1973 |
| Hope | 1 | 2011 | 2006 |
| Ashdown | 1 | 1992 | 1992 |
| Ozark Nf | 1 | 2024 | 2016 |
| Magazine Mtn | 1 | 2014 | 2007 |
| South Bend | 1 | 1993 | 1993 |
| Crows | 1 | 1967 | 1967 |
| Poyen | 1 | 2003 | 1968 |
| Hollywood | 1 | 2019 | 1969 |
| Blakely | 1 | 1982 | 1982 |
| Hatfield 2 | 1 | 2022 | 2022 |
| Crowley'S Ridge | 1 | 2024 | 2011 |
| Rupert | 1 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Coal Hill | 1 | 1981 | 1981 |
American Redstart Population Trend in Other States
alabamaalaskacoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.