Species · Maine · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Red-winged Blackbird Population Trend in Maine
Red-winged Blackbird in Maine has fallen sharply: down 66% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-66%Since 1968
73Routes In State
58Years
Notable Red-winged Blackbird Trends in Maine
long arc declinecomputed index
Red-winged Blackbird has fallen sharply in Maine: down 66% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Red-winged Blackbird Population Forecast in Maine
If the recent trend holds, Red-winged Blackbird in Maine is projected to fall about 62% by 2029 — from 8.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.1 (95% range 0.00–10). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±49.7%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-62%Change by 2029
3.1Projected 2029 index
0.00–1095% range
±49.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4.3 | 0.00 | 11 |
| 2026 | 4.0 | 0.00 | 11 |
| 2027 | 3.7 | 0.00 | 11 |
| 2028 | 3.4 | 0.00 | 11 |
| 2029 | 3.1 | 0.00 | 10 |
Red-winged Blackbird Survey Routes in Maine
| Biddeford | 41 | 2019 | 1973 |
| Benton | 39 | 1980 | 1971 |
| Harmony | 37 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Turner | 36 | 2010 | 1972 |
| Washburn | 30 | 2005 | 1979 |
| Jefferson | 26 | 2010 | 1991 |
| Ft Fairfield | 24 | 2005 | 1993 |
| St David | 24 | 2005 | 1982 |
| Cornville | 24 | 2024 | 2012 |
| Otisfield Gr | 23 | 2015 | 1966 |
| Kittery Pt | 19 | 2024 | 1966 |
| East Troy | 19 | 2019 | 1972 |
| Warren | 19 | 1990 | 1973 |
| Cambridge | 19 | 2014 | 1967 |
| Cape Neddick | 17 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Ashland | 16 | 2008 | 1980 |
| Hermon | 15 | 2019 | 1966 |
| Charleston | 11 | 2019 | 1975 |
| Northfield | 10 | 1981 | 1976 |
| Boundary | 10 | 2016 | 1993 |
| Newcastle | 9 | 2024 | 1971 |
| Waite | 9 | 1977 | 1977 |
| Ludlow | 9 | 1998 | 1968 |
| Greenwood | 8 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Freedom | 8 | 2022 | 1973 |
Red-winged Blackbird Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.