BirdAnalyst
Species · New York · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-winged Blackbird Population Trend in New York

All statesGeneralists

Red-winged Blackbird in New York has fallen sharply: down 57% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-57%Since 1968
129Routes In State
58Years

Notable Red-winged Blackbird Trends in New York

long arc declinecomputed index

Red-winged Blackbird has fallen sharply in New York: down 57% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Red-winged Blackbird Population Forecast in New York

If the recent trend holds, Red-winged Blackbird in New York is projected to fall about 62% by 2029 — from 66 in 2024 to a central estimate of 25 (95% range 0.00–62). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±56.2%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-62%Change by 2029
25Projected 2029 index
0.00–6295% range
±56.2%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025320.0069
2026300.0067
2027290.0065
2028270.0064
2029250.0062

Red-winged Blackbird Survey Routes in New York

Routes recording Red-winged Blackbird in New York.
Warwick29319741968
N Victory27219721967
Watertown23720121967
Cicero Ctr23420241966
Macdougall21120241969
Churchville19220241968
Cooperstown15919771968
West Seneca15820041966
Cayuga15520241969
Orleans14820241967
Romulus14620001968
E Youngstown13520231966
Cattaraugus11720191967
Swain11520071967
Coventryvile11120231967
Castile11020241967
Oxford10719761967
Dryden9520241966
S Berne 29520242014
Alder Creek9220041968
Naples9220241966
Gainesville8820231967
Branchport8620241967
Mcdonough8520171967
Oriskany Fls8520241967

Red-winged Blackbird Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.