Species · Alabama · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Red-winged Blackbird Population Trend in Alabama
Red-winged Blackbird in Alabama has collapsed: down 88% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-88%Since 1968
107Routes In State
58Years
Notable Red-winged Blackbird Trends in Alabama
long arc declinecomputed index
Red-winged Blackbird has collapsed in Alabama: down 88% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Red-winged Blackbird Population Forecast in Alabama
If the recent trend holds, Red-winged Blackbird in Alabama is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 5.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–16). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±190%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–1695% range
±190%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16 |
Red-winged Blackbird Survey Routes in Alabama
| Foley | 98 | 1984 | 1966 |
| Dearmanville | 65 | 1983 | 1966 |
| Summitt | 51 | 1981 | 1966 |
| Wheeler Dam | 44 | 2023 | 1993 |
| Alabama Pt 2 | 44 | 2019 | 2004 |
| Bon Secour | 38 | 2023 | 1993 |
| Hillsboro | 31 | 1996 | 1966 |
| Valhermoso Spg 2 | 30 | 2014 | 2014 |
| Valhermoso Spgs | 27 | 2010 | 1966 |
| Dawson | 25 | 1998 | 1966 |
| Dauphin Is 2 | 25 | 2019 | 1991 |
| Chacaloochee Bay | 22 | 2019 | 2009 |
| Swaim | 20 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Talladega | 19 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Dauphin Is 3 | 19 | 2021 | 2021 |
| Rock Chapel | 17 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Riverside | 17 | 2013 | 1999 |
| Calebee | 16 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Georgetown | 15 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Lakeview | 15 | 2024 | 1999 |
| Madrid | 14 | 2023 | 1994 |
| Carter Grove | 14 | 2023 | 2002 |
| St Florian | 13 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Warrior Std | 13 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Brooksville | 13 | 2023 | 1984 |
Red-winged Blackbird Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.