Species · West Virginia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Mallard Population Trend in West Virginia
Mallard in West Virginia has surged: up 78% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
+78%Since 1971
50Routes In State
52Years
Notable Mallard Trends in West Virginia
long arc increasecomputed index
Mallard has surged in West Virginia: up 78% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
Mallard Population Forecast in West Virginia
If the recent trend holds, Mallard in West Virginia is projected to rise about 401% by 2029 — from 0.14 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.68 (95% range 0.15–1.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±208%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+401%Change by 2029
0.68Projected 2029 index
0.15–1.295% range
±208%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.64 | 0.12 | 1.2 |
| 2026 | 0.65 | 0.12 | 1.2 |
| 2027 | 0.66 | 0.13 | 1.2 |
| 2028 | 0.67 | 0.14 | 1.2 |
| 2029 | 0.68 | 0.15 | 1.2 |
Mallard Survey Routes in West Virginia
| Smithfield | 10 | 1996 | 1993 |
| Mcdonald | 7 | 2010 | 2001 |
| Clendenin | 6 | 2017 | 1996 |
| Henderson | 6 | 2023 | 2018 |
| Clear Creek | 4 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Pt Pleasant | 4 | 2022 | 2016 |
| Meadland | 4 | 2019 | 1998 |
| Valley Head | 4 | 2006 | 1993 |
| Bramwell | 3 | 2022 | 1987 |
| Hanover | 3 | 2022 | 1995 |
| Olcott | 3 | 2008 | 1977 |
| Clinton | 3 | 1994 | 1978 |
| Ruthbelle | 3 | 2023 | 1977 |
| Hix | 2 | 2010 | 2008 |
| Smoot | 2 | 2003 | 1995 |
| Pedro | 2 | 2018 | 1997 |
| Stollings | 2 | 2007 | 2002 |
| Nicut | 2 | 2023 | 1995 |
| Bemis | 2 | 2002 | 2002 |
| Cedarville | 2 | 2019 | 1986 |
| Denmar | 2 | 2021 | 2009 |
| Dailey | 2 | 2023 | 1983 |
| Rockport | 2 | 2009 | 2006 |
| Josephs Mill | 2 | 2017 | 2000 |
| Meadowville | 2 | 2017 | 2004 |
Mallard Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.