BirdAnalyst
Species · Arkansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mallard Population Trend in Arkansas

All statesWaterfowl

Mallard in Arkansas has declined: down 38% on the route-weighted index since 1972.

-38%Since 1972
19Routes In State
50Years

Notable Mallard Trends in Arkansas

No notable trend signals for Mallard in Arkansas. See the full index history below.

Mallard Population Forecast in Arkansas

If the recent trend holds, Mallard in Arkansas is projected to fall about 68% by 2029 — from 0.18 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.06 (95% range 0.00–0.35). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±53.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-68%Change by 2029
0.06Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.3595% range
±53.4%Backtest error
19702029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.080.000.37
20260.080.000.36
20270.070.000.36
20280.060.000.35
20290.060.000.35

Mallard Survey Routes in Arkansas

Routes recording Mallard in Arkansas.
Hughes620191973
Rupert519901990
Saffell420001998
Augusta 2420112011
Hope319901990
Dell320242011
Ulm320121994
Stamps220012001
South Bend220181970
Whitton219911974
Stark219771977
Nance220052003
Wilson220241996
Eudora120051985
Harrisburg120121984
Augusta119941973
Maynard120101989
England120152013
Kelso120102010

Mallard Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonacaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.