Species · South Carolina · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Mallard Population Trend in South Carolina
Mallard in South Carolina has declined: down 31% on the route-weighted index since 1979.
-31%Since 1979
19Routes In State
30Years
Notable Mallard Trends in South Carolina
No notable trend signals for Mallard in South Carolina. See the full index history below.
Mallard Population Forecast in South Carolina
If the recent trend holds, Mallard in South Carolina is projected to fall about 67% by 2029 — from 0.38 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.13 (95% range 0.00–0.46). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±62.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-67%Change by 2029
0.13Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.4695% range
±62.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.47 |
| 2026 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.47 |
| 2027 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.47 |
| 2028 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.46 |
| 2029 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.46 |
Mallard Survey Routes in South Carolina
| Prosperity | 8 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Wagener | 6 | 2018 | 1978 |
| Campobello | 6 | 2023 | 2021 |
| Owings 2 | 5 | 2010 | 2010 |
| Walterboro | 3 | 2006 | 2006 |
| Holly Hill | 2 | 2009 | 2008 |
| Little Mtn | 2 | 1986 | 1977 |
| Landrum | 2 | 1988 | 1988 |
| Salem | 2 | 2014 | 2010 |
| Bennettsville | 2 | 2008 | 2000 |
| Pinewood | 2 | 2009 | 2009 |
| Adams Run | 2 | 2010 | 2010 |
| Anderson | 2 | 2003 | 2003 |
| Bishopville | 1 | 2018 | 2018 |
| Barton Creek | 1 | 2011 | 1983 |
| Plum Branch | 1 | 2016 | 1979 |
| Blacksburg | 1 | 2013 | 2003 |
| Joanna | 1 | 2004 | 2004 |
| Cauthens Xrd | 1 | 2009 | 2009 |
Mallard Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.