BirdAnalyst
Species · Nebraska · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mallard Population Trend in Nebraska

All statesWaterfowl

Mallard in Nebraska has increased: up 26% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+26%Since 1969
65Routes In State
57Years

Notable Mallard Trends in Nebraska

No notable trend signals for Mallard in Nebraska. See the full index history below.

Mallard Population Forecast in Nebraska

If the recent trend holds, Mallard in Nebraska is projected to rise about 105% by 2029 — from 2.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.3 (95% range 0.07–8.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±100.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+105%Change by 2029
4.3Projected 2029 index
0.07–8.595% range
±100.8%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20254.20.008.4
20264.20.008.4
20274.20.018.4
20284.20.048.5
20294.30.078.5

Mallard Survey Routes in Nebraska

Routes recording Mallard in Nebraska.
Paxton1720161967
Hampton1420192018
Bartlett1319751967
Wheeler Co1320241978
Kennedy1220241976
Piester Lake1120241967
Champion1120182018
Berea1020191980
Richland820241969
Crookston820232018
Nenzel720242018
Kenesaw620241967
Pine Ridge620241999
Sargent620242021
Stratton520241990
Gretna520181982
Almeria520001969
Crescent Lk520171980
Swan Lake420231977
Gordon420241975
Bassett420242018
Winside 2420132007
Agate 2320232002
Table320241973
Benkelman320181986

Mallard Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.