Species · Alabama · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Mallard Population Trend in Alabama
Mallard in Alabama has surged: up 91% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+91%Since 1969
44Routes In State
57Years
Notable Mallard Trends in Alabama
long arc increasecomputed index
Mallard has surged in Alabama: up 91% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Mallard Population Forecast in Alabama
If the recent trend holds, Mallard in Alabama is projected to rise about 26% by 2029 — from 0.23 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.29 (95% range 0.00–0.71). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±241.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+26%Change by 2029
0.29Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.7195% range
±241.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.29 | 0.00 | 0.71 |
| 2026 | 0.29 | 0.00 | 0.71 |
| 2027 | 0.29 | 0.00 | 0.71 |
| 2028 | 0.29 | 0.00 | 0.71 |
| 2029 | 0.29 | 0.00 | 0.71 |
Mallard Survey Routes in Alabama
| Valhermoso Spgs | 8 | 2008 | 1967 |
| Riverside | 8 | 2013 | 1999 |
| Pine Grove | 6 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Mt. Gilead | 6 | 2006 | 2006 |
| St. Elmo | 6 | 2007 | 2006 |
| Guntersville | 5 | 2017 | 1988 |
| Epes | 5 | 2024 | 1986 |
| Helicon | 5 | 2015 | 2015 |
| Wallsboro | 4 | 2003 | 1998 |
| Calebee | 4 | 2009 | 2009 |
| Wheeler Dam | 4 | 2023 | 1993 |
| Brooksville | 4 | 2005 | 1994 |
| Choccolocco | 4 | 2017 | 2000 |
| Birmingham | 3 | 1995 | 1981 |
| Bay Minette | 3 | 2010 | 2006 |
| Triana | 3 | 2008 | 1999 |
| Trade | 2 | 1998 | 1998 |
| Sunny Eve | 2 | 2021 | 1992 |
| Elberta | 2 | 2017 | 2017 |
| Sprague | 2 | 2008 | 1989 |
| Kymulga | 2 | 2015 | 2015 |
| Cottonton | 2 | 2004 | 1972 |
| Rock Chapel | 2 | 2014 | 2012 |
| Oneonta | 2 | 2011 | 2011 |
| St Florian | 1 | 1994 | 1968 |
Mallard Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.