BirdAnalyst
Species · Mississippi · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mallard Population Trend in Mississippi

All statesWaterfowl

Mallard in Mississippi has surged: up 867% on the route-weighted index since 1979.

+867%Since 1979
23Routes In State
40Years

Notable Mallard Trends in Mississippi

long arc increasecomputed index

Mallard has surged in Mississippi: up 867% on the route-weighted index since 1979.

Mallard Population Forecast in Mississippi

If the recent trend holds, Mallard in Mississippi is projected to fall about 35% by 2029 — from 1.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.99 (95% range 0.36–1.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±38.9%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-35%Change by 2029
0.99Projected 2029 index
0.36–1.695% range
±38.9%Backtest error
19702029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.910.291.5
20260.930.311.6
20270.950.331.6
20280.970.341.6
20290.990.361.6

Mallard Survey Routes in Mississippi

Routes recording Mallard in Mississippi.
Macon2720241997
Corinth1520122012
Commerce819881988
Grenada Lake720162016
Okatibbee L.419951995
Isola320211976
Fayette319911990
Forest319931993
Tallahatchie219961996
Lake220071981
Cybur220121989
Waynesboro220012001
Water Valley220152015
Olive Branch 2220212017
Embry220042004
Dundee120191970
Benton120012001
Trace Madison120162016
Trace Lee120172017
Tupelo120041999
Dahomey Nwr120242017
Aberdeen120192017
Shelby120242009

Mallard Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.